What will be the next astronomical object a human orbits around?
What will be the next astronomical object a human orbits around?
Basic
7
Ṁ5672050
87%
Earth's Moon
4%
Mars
3%
Venus
1.9%
a moon of a different planet
1.7%
an asteroid or comet
2%
needs to be alive and complete at least one full orbit
see also:
What will be the second next astronomical object a human orbits around?
What will be the next astronomical object a human lands on?
What will be the second next astronomical object a human lands on?
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For a small object near a bigger body it may be impossible to orbit it under pure gravity. It’s of course possible to do with propulsion. How will you resolve in that case?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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