What government positions will Tom Scott (the YouTuber) hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
What government positions will Tom Scott (the YouTuber) hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
Plus
12
Ṁ19172051
9%
Chief of Staff
9%
Leader (majority or minority)
7%
Representative
7%
Ambassador
7%
Mayor
5%
Cabinet Secretary
4%
President
4%
Governor
4%
Attorney General
4%
Vice President
3%
Supreme Court Justice
Starting from this market's creation. Terms used refer to presidency, congress, states, and so on in whatever their most obvious normal meaning is in any country. Note that this market refers to time served, not elections won or appointments attempted.
See also: What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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