Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?
19
Ṁ666Apr 11
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will immediately resolve YES if a ceasefire lasting at least one full day occurs within the next 30 days. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
I will not bet in this market.
Background:
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/11/world/ukraine-us-talks-saudi-arabia-intl/index.html

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@Haiku Title changed from "Will Russia agree to the ceasefire proposed by the U.S. within the next 30 days?" to "Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?". Since Ukraine has already agreed to a ceasefire, there should be no difference; however, the second version aligns better with the description in case Ukraine withdraws from the agreement.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
7% chance
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
48% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia reach a ceasefire -- in agreement or in practice -- by August 2025? 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦
43% chance
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Will Trump state that Ukraine should agree to not receiving arms during a ceasefire in the next 30 days?
30% chance
If there is an offered ceasefire and Russia doesn't accept, will the US pressure Russia in any way April 30th?
64% chance
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in Trump's First 90 Days?
4% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
57% chance
If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
63% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
40% chance