This market resolves to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, a commercially available robot costing <$100k is legally approved in California and the U.S. to perform at least 5 of the following key childcare tasks:

1. Monitoring and Supervising: The robot must be capable of continuously monitoring the child, ensuring their safety, and providing supervision similar to a human babysitter.

2. Feeding and Meal Preparation: The robot should be able to prepare simple meals or snacks and feed the child appropriately.

3. First Aid and Emergency Response: The robot must be equipped to administer basic first aid and respond appropriately to common emergencies, such as choking or minor injuries.

4. Entertainment and Educational Activities: The robot should be able to engage the child in play, storytelling, or educational activities suitable for their age group.

5. Diaper Changing and Toilet Assistance: The robot should be able to change diapers or assist with toilet training.

6. Sleep Management: The robot should be able to put the child to bed, monitor sleep, and respond to any disturbances or needs during the night.

7. Transporting the Child: The robot should be capable of safely transporting the child within a home environment, such as moving from one room to another or assisting with mobility.

8. Communication with Parents: The robot must be able to communicate effectively with parents, providing updates and alerts as needed.

To resolve as "Yes," the robot must also be approved for use by all relevant state and federal regulatory bodies in California, which might include compliance with child safety laws, data privacy regulations, and any specific AI or robotics legislation.

If no such robot meets these criteria by the end of 2030, the market will resolve to "No.