Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) releases new information related to Jeffrey Epstein by July 31, 2025. The release must be officially announced by the DOJ and accessible through their official channels, such as press releases or their website. If no such release occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
Background
In February 2025, Attorney General Pam Bondi released a set of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein, which were criticized for being heavily redacted and lacking new information. Subsequent statements from the DOJ in July 2025 indicated that no further disclosures were planned, citing the absence of a "client list" and reaffirming Epstein's death as a suicide. (apnews.com) This decision has led to political tensions, with some lawmakers demanding greater transparency and the release of additional files. (goldman.house.gov)
Considerations
Given the DOJ's recent stance against further disclosures and the political controversy surrounding the Epstein files, the likelihood of new information being released by the end of July 2025 appears low. Traders should monitor official DOJ communications and any legislative actions that might compel the release of additional documents.
Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified what qualifies as new information:
It must be information that was not previously known and adds a new piece of the story.
It must be substantiated by a document or other item from the file itself.
A new explanation of existing information would not be sufficient to resolve to Yes.
@WilliamGunn If there is any new information that wasn't previously known from the file I will resolve yes. A new tape could be new info, a new explanation would not be something I would consider from the file - it must include some new piece of the story we didn't previously have with something to substance it - document or something from the file.