When will Australia take possession of its first nuclear submarine?
When will Australia take possession of its first nuclear submarine?
Basic
5
Ṁ1492040
8%
2030-31
8%
2032-33
9%
2034-35
11%
2036-37
9%
2038-39
49%
Not during the 2030s (earlier, later or never are all covered)
6%
Under AUKUS the following agreement has been made.
“Beginning in the early 2030s, pending approval from the U.S. Congress, the United States intends to sell Australia three Virginia class submarines, with the potential to sell up to two more if needed.”
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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