Would an AI that committed a crime be punished in any way?
Would an AI that committed a crime be punished in any way?
Basic
1
Ṁ25Dec 14
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
An artificial intelligence (let's call it BOB-1) has committed a crime punishable by law. Would Bob receive said punishment since it committed a crime or would nothing happen because it is not a human?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Is this asking "will the first AI in the world to autonomously commit a crime get punished?" If so, would getting shut down / destroyed without legal involvement count, or only if it's a legal conviction with a sentence?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will there be an AI jail?
29% chance
Will an AI be convicted of a crime in a US court by 2050?
25% chance
Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?
69% chance
When will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
-
Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?
48% chance
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
26% chance
Will AGI retaliate on AI doomers in a way that makes AI doomers regret it?
3% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
67% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
65% chance
Will AI-generated video be used to get away with a criminal (felony) loss of life before the end of 2025?
11% chance