If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month? | Manifold

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Plus

48

Ṁ5294

2030

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if this market resolves YES, and within a month from that time, a Chinese military unit has either:

Killed a deployed member of the US military.
Fired on a US military vehicle or base.

This market resolves NO if this doesn't happen within a month of the resolution of the previously mentioned market. If that market resolves NO or N/A, this market resolves N/A.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 YES

If China attacks Taiwan without a pre-emptive strike on US assets in the Pacific, they are taking a massive risk hoping the US won't intervene.

bought Ṁ25 YES

If China decides to attack Taiwan, it would make a lot of sense to attack the US and Japan as well simultaneously.

I think the invasion will start with attacks on the US Navy, perhaps from ships that appear to be civilian.

@BTE Exactly.

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Partially inspired by this blog post.

Related questions

When will China invade Taiwan

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?

+5% 1d54% chance

Will China attack / invade Taiwan if the US government shuts down during the next 6 months?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Related questions

When will China invade Taiwan

Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

Will China attack / invade Taiwan if the US government shuts down during the next 6 months?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules