Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
6
Ṁ650
2027
85%
chance

This market will resolve yes if an LLM/Agent system is able to beat a 2000 rated elo chess player on chess.com or lichess equivalent rating of 2000.Rules:The AI is allowed to use images,reason,search online for moves, but not use chess engines to make moves.The AI is allowed to continue if it makes mistakes. For resolution sharing the chat the game is played in is necessary. Gamemodes can be rapid(10 to 60minutes)

  • Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the rules:

    • The AI is not allowed to ask a human for help.

  • Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The human player must play at their best and is not allowed to intentionally lose the game.

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Is it bad that Chatgpt O3 can beat me at chess I have played it once and it beat me in roughly 25 moves

I’m 2000+ rated rapid. If I intentionally play an awful game against a publicly released LLM and allow it to defeat me - does it count? I need my free mana :P

@rada maybe I should I clarify the nuances of the question you must play at your best and plus you must setup the time constraints if you are going to play against the LLM yourself in chess.com that means you must move the chess pieces to the position it gave you or if it is agent system it could just move it by itself

@rada I was wondering the same thing haha

Is the AI allowed to ask a human for help?

@DanielJohnston maybe I should clarify that no the AI is not allowed to ask a human for help

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