Will Wikipedia still be in the top 10 most visited websites at the end of 2025?
Will Wikipedia still be in the top 10 most visited websites at the end of 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ4702026
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Wikipedia's List of Most Visited Websites: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_visited_websites
Wikipedia is currently #7. Resolves based on whatever data is there on Jan 1, 2025. If the wikipedia page above lists Wikipedia as 11th or lower, resolves NO. If Reddit is 10th or higher, resolves YES.
Also see:
/Bayesian/will-reddit-be-in-the-top-10-most-v
Will Reddit be in the top 15 most visited websites at the end of 2024?YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What will be the top 10 most viewed Wikipedia articles of 2025?
Will Wikifunctions (the latest Wikimedia project) be a top 50k website in 2 years?
18% chance
What will be #1 most viewed Wikipedia article of 2025?
Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
60% chance
Will Wikipedia be up at wikipedia.org in 2030?
92% chance
🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
What will be the most viewed website in the world at the end of 2030?
Which Wikipedia articles currently below 100k+ monthly page views will surpass 200k+ page views in a month before 2026?
What will be the most viewed website in the world at the end of 2026?
How many Books will be considered "The Best" by Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?