Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight by the end of 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ634resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two billionaires get into a publicized physical battle, by the end of 2024?
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public (this one)
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
16% chance
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
19% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?
90% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
44% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
36% chance
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen before 2027?
11% chance
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen in 2025?
12% chance
Will any decabillionaire be murdered before 2026?
16% chance