Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027?
Will my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2027?
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I am a type 1 diabetic in Canada. I don’t know if I produce any insulin but if I do it’s not much. I became diabetic 6 years ago at 17. The resolution criteria for this market is not too strict; if i need to inject insulin every few days, or something, that’s ok. If for the typical meal I can just eat it and not inject insulin and not go in hyperglycemia, that would probably me sufficient for this market. A requirement is that if I am ‘cured’ of type 1 diabetes, I would need to have to spend less than half the time on diabetes related tasks in a typical week.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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