Most training run compute greater than 2e27 FLOP by EOY 2026?
4
Ṁ2111
2026
91%
chance

see https://epoch.ai/trends#compute. At market creation, the most recent update put grok 3 at 5e26 FLOP.

This market will resolve to epoch's estimate if it is available at time of market close. If unavailable, the most sensible estimate at that time will be used.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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