GPT-5 releases when?
Plus
21
Ṁ2348Dec 31
2,025.31
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tests whether month-long buckets work decently for numeric markets. may N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
If I compute the culmulative function with these questions:
and then take the derivative (or like piecewise approximation of the derivative using buckets), how well does it match the curve in your question? 🤔
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2025?
2% chance
When GPT-5 will released?
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
73% chance
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
27% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
42% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
46% chance
When will GPT 5 be released
When will GPT 5 be released
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
44% chance
Will GPT5 be released before July 1st 2025?
67% chance