Will Jack Smith seek Aileen Cannon's recusal from Trump documents case before the election?
Will Jack Smith seek Aileen Cannon's recusal from Trump documents case before the election?
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The trial was, or still is scheduled for late-May but nobody seriously believes it will begin before the election unless Cannon is recused or changes the cadence of her docket and begins making "papered" rulings. Cannon has gotten close to the edge of what might get her recused on appeal and the ball is in the Special Counsel's court. This market resolves YES if Smith files a motion to recuse Cannon with the Court of Appeals before the election.
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Florida judge dismisses the Trump classified documents case
Judge Aileen Cannon handed down her decision on Monday in a big win for the former president.
The Florida judge overseeing former President Donald Trump's classified documents case dismissed the indictment against him.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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