Would Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030) | Manifold

Would Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)

Plus

14

Ṁ1921

2030

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A conditional market to tease out which 2024 presidential candidate is going to save us from AI.

If Donald Trump is not elected president in the 2024 US Presidential election, this resolves as N/A. Otherwise it has the same resolution as:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

21% chance. If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO. If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES. If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve. See also: @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d…

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Existential Risk

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

The title is kind of confusing, because the question is actually more like "Will Trump let AI kill us all?"

@ArunJohnson You're absolutely right. I'll fix the titles

Related questions

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

Would Desantis let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity by the year 2080

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?

+6% 1d42% chance

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2700?

Related questions

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Would Desantis let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)

Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?

Will AI wipe out humanity by the year 2080

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2700?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules