Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
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Resolves yes if there is any announcement in relation to the UK-Mauritius deal on the Chagos Islands, or post-transfer Mauritian governance, that will stop the .io ccTLD from being generally available for commercial use similar to today, e.g. the TLD being abolished. A transfer of the ccTLD to Mauritian authority is fine, so long as existing domains are generally preserved and international businesses still able to register domains.
Resolves no if the deal is called off, or if there is a reasonably trustworthy announcement that clearly confirms its ongoing status for the reasonable future.
Question closes in 2030 to give time for the final deal to be negotiated and come into effect.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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