Will Manifold Reach X number of Monthly Active Users in 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ484
2026
88%
9500
85%
11000
82%
10500
66%
10000
44%
12000
37%
13000
36%
14000
24%
15000

Resolution base on the numbers reported here: https://manifold.markets/stats
Resolves YES if Manifold reaches X number of monthly active users on any day in 2025
Resolves N/A if Manifold stops reporting the statistics to the public

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Ṁ1,000
and
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just noticed it isnt reported, na? @mods

@strutheo isn't "Active traders" (which has a "monthly" tab) the same as what "active users" referred to at market creation? so i think this info is still available?

e.g. markets like these resolved based on what was previously called "active users" https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-manifold-reach-9200-monthly-ac-cc16efbab030 , with like 5-10k or so. that should be the same as what's now called "active traders". (they introduced a new broader definition of "active user" that's daily, but it's just an additional chart, don't think any info is gone)

@Ziddletwix i thought those were two different stats this whole time

@Ziddletwix that's correct

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