Will Joe Biden and Pope Francis meet in person in year 2025?
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Ṁ1033resolved Apr 24
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Resolves Yes if there are credible evidence or credible news media reporting that the two have met in person in year 2025
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@FrederickNorris Please ping the question creator first and ping mods only after 24h has passed.
@AmmonLam Could you resolve this and many similar markets you have? Thanks!
bought Ṁ5 YES3mo
Not quite a YES yet, but I'd risk 5 mana for this.
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Biden awards Pope Francis medal of freedom, highest US civilian honor
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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