Join the first Manifold Guild an receive M500!
Join the first Manifold Guild an receive M500!
Ṁ990 / 3010
bounty left
Join the first Manifold Guild an receive M500! membership requires approval, but its not difficult. We have our own discord channel where members can exchange market news, share memes, offer loans to one another, join force to win a whale market, and enjoy playing Manifold together, among many other activities!
(M500 bounty only avalible for newer users with net worth < M10000)
pm me in discord Ammon#4814 if you are interested to join
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I can’t seem to dm you, so I sent a friend request, which should let send an official message
+Ṁ20
I might be doing something wrong but I can’t find you on discord. Is there another way to contact you?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
When will Manifold implement a charity program?
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Will Manifold give prominent community members equity in Manifold by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Manifold add at least one Guild/Clan/Team feature by EOY 2025? (by my judgement)
64% chance
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What will be the first for-profit cooperation to join manifold?
Are you on Manifold's Discord?
POLL
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POLL
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POLL
Join the first Manifold Guild an receive M500!
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How can Manifold improve?
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