Will a DeSci (decentralized science) project be valued at $100 million or more anytime before 2026?
Will a DeSci (decentralized science) project be valued at $100 million or more anytime before 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ512Dec 31
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resovles YES if the market cap of a DeSci cryptocurrency project exceeds $100 million.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030
53% chance
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
21% chance
Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
0% chance
Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least ten million USD by the year 2026?
7% chance
Will a company started by @jim have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
2% chance
Will Science Corp shutdown or be acquired for less than $160m USD before 2034.
57% chance
Will the Cosmos ecosystem market cap reach 300B USDe before 2025?
43% chance
Will Adept AI be valued at $20B or greater by the end of 2026?
28% chance
Will Extropic be worth $1 Billion before 2030? 🦄
22% chance
Will Replit be valued at $20B or greater by the end of 2025?
25% chance