If Trump is elected, will America be seriously involved in any wars within 2 years?
Basic
9
Ṁ2862026
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Trump wins the election and 100+ American troops die in any one conflict between November 5, 2024 and November 3, 2026.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
20% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
74% chance
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
21% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
7% chance
Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
73% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
22% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
73% chance
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
21% chance