Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? | Manifold

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

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130

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2030

47%

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Background:

The Millennium Prize Problems are well-known complex mathematical problems selected by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. The Clay Institute has pledged a US$1 million prize for the first correct solution to each problem.

Resolution Criteria:

The AI system must independently solve the Millennium Prize Problem without any human assistance during the solution process. Humans can only set up the AI architecture and train it on publicly available knowledge.

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opened a Ṁ500 NO at 65% order

A new proof of the already proven Poincaré conjecture wouldn't count, correct? @yaqubali

@ProjectVictory obviously that doesn’t count since it is already proven by humans. Also, AI was not involved in solving the problem.

@yaqubali I was just double checking that AI finding a new solution to a solved one wouldn't count.

@ProjectVictory fair enough.

bought Ṁ7 NO

There are pretty stringent conditions set. Would anyone accept the specific challenge? Has someone famous made it. I would think the overwhelming inclination would be to cheat on the gonditions

Arbitrage

This got linked to on Twitter: https://x.com/MillionInt/status/1870620635778658506

Wth

bought Ṁ100 NO

Lol what's going on with this market?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Thank you for the mana, very cool

how tf did this get to 99%?

@palcu Because @AidanMcLaughlin bought a lot of shares, per this tweet, and this market doesn't have that much liquidity so it overcorrected https://x.com/aidan_mclau/status/1870462987842236910

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