Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
6
Ṁ1082029
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria:
Resolves YES if I am 80% confident that this has occurred. Peer-reviewed studies making this claim will probably be necessary, but not necessarily sufficient.
The intervention must be intentional (excludes coincidental effects of non-climate policies)
The temperature reduction need not be expected to be repeated the following year, e.g., if the intervention was temporary.
Learn more about climate interventions : https://climateinterventions.org/
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