Will a fourth US Citizen become Prime Minister of another country before EOY 2035?
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As of this question's posting in Feb 2024, there are three US citizens that have given up their citizenship and become Prime Minister of another country:
George Papandreou, the Prime Minister of Greece from 2009 to 2011, relinquished his U.S. citizenship shortly before taking office. He was born in St. Paul, MN, when his father was a professor at the U of M.
Boris Johnson was a US citizen until 2016.
Golda Meir (née Malbovitch), the Prime Minister of Israel from 1969 to 1974, grew up in Milwaukee and became a naturalized citizen when her father became a citizen in 1917.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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