
Will OpenAI refer to o3 as AGI?
Basic
14
Ṁ1100Dec 29
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some are saying “it’s over.”
Will OpenAI or Sam Altman claim that AGI has been achieved, in reference specifically to their o3 model?
Some will say “it’s not quite AGI” or “AGI is hard to define.” This market is only to determine whether the company or ceo will overtly make the claim, specifically about o3.
Resolves ‘yes’ if any official representative says that o3 is AGI, or that it in any way represents achieving AGI as a company. Resolves ‘no’ if the question is punted, if Altman specifically denies that it’s AGI, or another future or past model eventually is named as the first AGI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI release o3 pro mode this week?
5% chance
Will OpenAI release o3 pro mode this month?
93% chance
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
5% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
13% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance
Will OpenAI say GPT-5 is AGI?
10% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
85% chance
At the start of 2030 will I believe that OpenAI had AGI in 2024?
12% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?
83% chance