(description is 30% AI-generated.)

Background
The Russian mobilization order of September 21, 2022 was issued without a specified end date. The Supreme Court of Russia has confirmed that the mobilization period can only end through an official presidential decree. While Russian officials claimed the mobilization was "completed" in October 2022, this did not legally terminate the mobilization state. The order currently keeps all military service contracts valid beyond their normal end dates, effectively extending military service indefinitely.

Resolution Criteria
Market resolves YES if:

• A presidential order, law, or Supreme Court decision that formally terminates the mobilization is both published and goes into effect by December 31, 2025

• The termination must be verifiable through official Russian government websites (like publication.pravo.gov.ru). Reputable news sources might count but I'm mostly after a legal document here.

Market resolves % if:

• A terminating order is published but does not go into effect by December 31, 2025

Market resolves NO if:

• No terminating order/law/decision is published by December 31, 2025

Considerations

• The mobilization order's termination would significantly impact Russia's military capabilities by potentially ending extended service contracts

• Russia is currently using alternative recruitment methods like voluntary contracts with high financial incentives, suggesting a continued need for military personnel

• Any termination order would likely need to address the status of extended service contracts to avoid sudden force reduction

• The Russian government may be hesitant to formally end mobilization while military operations continue, as it provides legal flexibility for force management

I intend to trade on this market.