[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?
[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?
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By December 31st, 2028, will it be considered best practice in clinical psychology to incorporate AI tools in the diagnostic process?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
The question will resolve based on official guidelines or endorsements from authoritative bodies in the field of clinical psychology, such as the American Psychological Association (APA), European Federation of Psychologists Association, (EFPA), Ordem dos Psicólogos Portugueses (OPP), or equivalent organizations globally. If any of these organizations endorse the use of AI tools as best practice for diagnosis by the specified date, the question will resolve as "Yes."
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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