Will the next successful hack of the US election involve phishing? 🇺🇸🗳️🧑🏻💻
Basic
3
Ṁ60Jan 1
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Donald Trump’s campaign has already been successfully hacked by Iran, which was made possible with phishing attack on Roger Stone
Will the next successful attack on the US election by a foreign power (or non-state actor) involve phishing? Even if phishing was done at an earlier stage of a multi stage attack, this will Resolve YES.
Resolves NO if the attack did not involve phishing in any capacity. Resolves N/A if there are no additional successful attacks on the 2024 US election.
As it would be reasonable for an attack to take time to come to light, this market will not Resolve NO or N/A for all of 2024, and could extend if there’s lingering ambiguity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a major social media platform be accused of influencing the 2024 U.S. presidential election outcome?
20% chance
What countries will attempt to interfere with the US election?
Will there be a disruption of the 2024 US Elections ?
3% chance
Will the 2024 US presidential election be stolen from the rightful victor?
3% chance
Will there be legally provable evidence of voter fraud in the 2024 Presidential Election?
3% chance
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the next election?
46% chance
Will there be another attack on the US capital as a result of the 2024 election?
3% chance
In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]
20% chance
Will either the RNC or DNC email servers be hacked before the general election?
7% chance
Will there be at least USD 1M worth of damage caused by LLM-assisted spear phishing before 2025?
68% chance