Will Gerd Kommer outperform JPMorgan over 10 years?
Will Gerd Kommer outperform JPMorgan over 10 years?
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Gerd Kommer is a well-known finance author in Germany. He just released his own ETF: L&G Gerd Kommer Multifactor Equity UCITS ETF USD Accumulating
ISIN IE0001UQQ933 WKN WELT0A
One direct competitor as a "multifactor" ETF is JPMorgans A2PJEP. We align the time to full years, so 10 years from 2024 to 2034.
Resolves YES if WELT0A has grown more (relatively) than A2PJEP from 2024-01-01 to 2034-01-01. I'll just some ETF website, so taxes, trading fees, and other factors are ignored.
Resolves NO if A2PJEP grows more.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00