Will the winner of 2024 US presidential election be less than 6ft (183cm) tall?
Will the winner of 2024 US presidential election be less than 6ft (183cm) tall?
Basic
9
Ṁ1299
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ46
2Ṁ10
3Ṁ3
4Ṁ2


Sort by:
1y

real height or claimed? I assume claimed since it's very hard to actually measure how tall Biden is. But given his age I expect he and Trump have shrunk quite a bit.

predictedNO 1y

@StrayClimb would need to be demonstrated that he was shorter on the election day

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules