Will Chihayafuru receive a fourth season in or before 2025?
Will Chihayafuru receive a fourth season in or before 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ2352026
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a fourth season of the Chihayafuru anime begins airing before the end of 2025. Resolves NO if there is none such.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will there be a TV-length season 2 of No Game, No Life by 2029?
15% chance
Will a 5th season of Battle For Dream Island release before July 2025?
10% chance
Will a new Tsukihime anime adaptation be released within five years of the Tsukihime remake being fully released?
60% chance
Will Togashi Yoshihiro publish a new chapter of Hunter × Hunter in 2025?
80% chance
Will the original Tsukihime be rereleased before 2034?
22% chance
Will a fourth season of How to with John Wilson be released before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will Nintendo re-release the F-Zero anime in any form in the United States before February 2026?
38% chance
Will Smiling Friends be renewed for a 4th season by Adult Swim by the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will Kanno Yoko produce an anime soundtrack before the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Shirakami Fubuki hit 3 million subscribers on YouTube before 2026?
9% chance