Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
Basic
5
Ṁ802029
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is broadly meant to encompass failure of the company:
Bankruptcy
Technically getting acquired by another one of Musk's companies to save face / retain talent for his other companies
Dramatically pivoting to no longer doing fundamental AI research.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
88% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
5% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
19% chance
Will xAI stick to their announced release timeline?
23% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
44% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
6% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
27% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?
10% chance
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
24% chance