Will Indonesia become a high income country by 2045?
Will Indonesia become a high income country by 2045?
Basic
7
Ṁ202
2045
62%
chance

Resolves YES if at any point before December 31, 2045, Indonesia is listed as high income based on World Bank country classification.

===

As of January 2024 Indonesia is classified as an upper-middle income economy by the World Bank.
https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/the-world-by-income-and-region.html

The country aims to achieve the 'Golden Indonesia' vision in 2045 and its Ministry of National Development Planning has drafted the final phase of National Long-Term Development Plan for 2025-2045.
https://www.thejakartapost.com/business/2023/06/19/president-jokowi-launches-final-phase-of-rpjpn-2025-2045.html

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules