How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? π€π§ π¦Ύπβ¨π
How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? π€π§ π¦Ύπβ¨π
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16
αΉ23802031
1.8%
Less than 1 Trillion
12%
1 to 2 Trillion
12%
2 to 3 Trillion
9%
3 to 4 Trillion
65%
Greater than 4 Trillion
Based on yearly revenue in 2030
In 2021 it was ~600 Billion, McKinsey forecasts it to grow with a CAGR of 7% to become a 1 Trillion Dollar industry
RESOLUTION
will confirm 2030 figures based on a number of industry reports of annual revenue by reputable sources (e.g. McKinsey)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightβs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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