By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?
Basic
5
Ṁ1042036
6%
2025
12%
2026
22%
2027
36%
2028
36%
2029
31%
2030
50%
2031
50%
2032
50%
2033
50%
2034
50%
2035
80%
Later or never
Resolves yes based on whether leading news networks refer to what happened as a nationalization or if that language is used by the government.
Also resolves yes if the US government creates a project which becomes the leading AI lab in the country (at the time when it becomes the leading AI lab).
Does not resolve yes if the relationship between the government and labs is only similar to that between the government and military contractors.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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