Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ181Mar 1
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Iran's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2025) compared to the last report (which can be found here).
If Iran's democracy score for 2024 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
Other questions about authoritarianism in 2024:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
21% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
25% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
61% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2024?
3% chance