Will an AI ballot measure in any state be endorsed in a Scott Alexander post by the 2026 elections?
Plus
6
Ṁ4602027
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there is a statewide ballot measure about AI that is endorsed by Scott Alexander in a blog post. Resolves the day before the 2026 midterm elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
49% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
21% chance
Will Scott Alexander judge a specific candidate movie to resolve his 2028 AI movie market?
66% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?
33% chance
Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?
32% chance
Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
60% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
28% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 1.000 or more votes?
28% chance
Will California sign into law any more AI bills before July 2025?
44% chance