Anyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?

Ṁ4723

2027

chance

ALL

This resolves to YES if at least one person is indicted for insider trading and/or market manipulation, for events related to stock market movements that occured on 4/7/2025, including but not limited to the spike in the morning.

Resolves to NO if no one has been indicted by the market close on 03/01/2027.

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
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