Lee Jae-myung impeached or arrested by 2030?
1
Ṁ102029
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee Jae-myung is impeached or arrested on any charges by December 31, 2029. An arrest is defined as the act of detaining Lee Jae-myung by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether it leads to prosecution or conviction. Impeachment refers to the formal process by which a sitting president is charged with misconduct. Verification will be based on reports from reputable news outlets such as Yonhap News Agency, The Korea Times, and The Korea Herald. If neither event occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
See context here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93gqwek5jyo
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will a South Korean President be convicted of a crime before 2035?
92% chance
Will javier milei successfully get impeached before 2025 ends
2% chance
Will Chungin "Roy" Lee be charged with a federal crime before January 1st 2026?
24% chance
Will Remigijus Žemaitaitis get impeached by EOY 2025?
61% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
33% chance
Will the president of South Korea 🇰🇷 Yoon Suk Yeol be convicted of insurrection?
50% chance
Poland: Will PM Mateusz Morawiecki be jailed by 2030?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested in the US before 2034?
32% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2030?
57% chance