How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Plus
3
Ṁ56692027
99%
More than 95
99%
More than 100
98.4%
More than 105
95%
More than 110
71%
More than 115
42%
More than 120
5%
More than 125
1.7%
More than 130
1.1%
More than 135
1%
More than 140
The Spanish general election will be held at some point before September of 2027. 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election. In the 2023 general election PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) got 121 seats.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Spanish_general_election
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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