How many seats will be won by EKRE (Conservative People's Party of Estonia) in the next Estonian parliamentary election?
How many seats will be won by EKRE (Conservative People's Party of Estonia) in the next Estonian parliamentary election?
Basic
5
Ṁ992026
62%
More than 15
50%
More than 18
33%
More than 21
12%
More than 24
The Riigikogu is made up of 101 seats. EKRE won 17 in the last parliamentary election in 2023. The next Estonian parliamentary election will be held by March 2027.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
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