Will Buntanetap from Annovis Bio receive FDA approval before 2028?
Will Buntanetap from Annovis Bio receive FDA approval before 2028?
Basic
9
Ṁ6252028
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The drug is in phase 3 trials now for Parkinson's Disease and Alzheimer's Disease.
AKA Posiphen or ANVS401
Study link here: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05357989
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
I have only skimmed information on this but the base rate for drugs actually working for Alzheimer's etc is really low. It may be approved anyway (e.g. aducanumab) though.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?
40% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
19% chance
💊Will INS018_055 be FDA-approved by 2030?
48% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against glioblastoma before 2028?
20% chance
Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028?
51% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against pancreatic adenocarcinoma before 2028?
19% chance
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
60% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against melanoma before 2028?
48% chance
Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?
77% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against colorectal adenocarcinoma before 2028?
31% chance