Will transparent MicroLED displays be available at retailers by end 2026?
Will transparent MicroLED displays be available at retailers by end 2026?
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69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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(See this article for some discussion on what MicroLED is)
Notably, LCD and OLED transparent displays do not qualify for this market.
Available at retailers: in-stock and purchasable by consumers (B2B-only doesn't qualify). For online purchases, must reportedly be actively shipping.
I'll be pretty permissive about what style of display it is. Could be a full-sized TV, standalone desktop monitor, pre-installed into laptops, used in novelty drinking glasses, or what have you. Notably it needs to actually be a working screen so keep those light up Disneyland mugs in your attic, thanks.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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