Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027?
(AI boom?)
Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027?
(AI boom?)
Plus
16
Ṁ22652028
61%
chance
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1M
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IPO markets are due to thaw soon after a cool 2022-2023, following an unprecedented all time high in 2021 with 1,000+ IPOs.
The hype around AI and new companies has drawn comparisons to the Dotcom Boom of the 1990s. A key indicator will be the pace of companies heading to IPO.
IPOs in the Dotcom Boom exceeded 300 nearly every year (except 1998, 267) from 1992-2000, when the bubble popped.
Since then, only 2004, 2014, and 2020 & 2021 (pandemic boom) have exceeded 300 IPOs. Please see relevant tables below for details.
Given the IPOs already in the pipeline, the AI boom and market conditions:
Will there be a year where IPO count exceeds 300 between 2024 and 2027?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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