Will there be a serious coup attempt against Alexander Lukashenko in 2024?
Plus
30
Ṁ5531Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Belarusian exiles plot coup against Lukashenko – POLITICO
I won't bet, resolves according to my judgment, but I will be relatively lenient. The Wagner mutiny definitely would've been a serious attempt, for example.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
68% chance
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a year?
68% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
35% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
20% chance
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within six months?
56% chance
Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a month?
1% chance
Will Lukashenko die in a plane crash?
13% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within one year of each other?
65% chance