What will Pierre Poilievre's approval percentage be, one year after winning a majority?
Plus
4
Ṁ1182026
15%
Less than 30%
21%
30% to 39%
21%
40% to 49%
34%
50% to 59%
5%
60% to 69%
5%
70% or higher
Background
Pierre Poilievre currently leads the Conservative Party of Canada with a net approval rating of -4% (37% approval, 55% disapproval) according to Angus Reid. Historically, new governments often experience a "honeymoon period" with higher initial approval ratings that tend to decline as they face real-world challenges.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on Pierre Poilievre's approval rating exactly one year after winning a majority government, as measured by Angus Reid.
The market will resolve N/A if:
Poilievre does not win a majority government
No reliable polling data is available within 2 weeks of the one-year mark
Poilievre resigns or leaves office before the one-year mark
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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