Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?
Basic
5
Ṁ177
2028
72%
chance

The CPU/accelerator should meaningfully contribute to the compute being done, comparable to a current CPU/GPU.

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Ṁ1,000
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The growing interest in RISC-V, an open-source ISA, reflects the industry's desire for customizable and potentially cost-effective alternatives to proprietary architectures. While RISC-V has seen increasing adoption in various sectors, its integration into top-tier supercomputing systems remains to be realized. The 72% probability indicated by the Manifold Markets question reflects optimism that RISC-V will achieve this milestone by 2028.​ For those interested in financial planning, consider exploring options to open a savings account https://moneyfactscompare.co.uk/isa/5-year-fixed-rate-isas/.

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