When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week? | Manifold

When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?

Basic

6

Ṁ252

2028

18%

2025

23%

2026

27%

2027

23%

2028

9%

Never/later

When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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