Will Ada Nguyen raise at least $100k for a startup by 2024
Will Ada Nguyen raise at least $100k for a startup by 2024
Basic
2
Ṁ410Jan 1
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will there be a Jesus AI startup worth $20+ million by 2026
28% chance
Will Ada Nguyen win emergent ventures grant by EOY 2030?
45% chance
Will Brad English raise at least $1million for a startup by EOY 2025?
41% chance
Will Mia Aiyana Cardenas (TKS=>NYU) win emergent ventures by EOY 2025?
37% chance
Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Ada Nguyen win an emergent ventures grant by EOY 2025?
47% chance
Will Alice Cai (from Harvard/augmentationlab.org) win Emergent Ventures by EOY 2025?
57% chance
Will goodfire.ai raise more than 15 million in 2025
50% chance
Will Sam Altman raise at least one trillion dollars for an AI project?
9% chance
Will OpenAI or another entity connected to Sam Altman raise at least $5 trillion total by the end of 2025?
4% chance